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Kapitel 10 - Visible Learning 2.0 eingegeben und durchlaufen lassen.

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Jochen Hanisch-Johannsen
2025-09-03 23:05:21 +02:00
parent b8525d9d90
commit eef369d025
15 changed files with 2977 additions and 1153 deletions
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298
export/fib_signed_series.csv
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@ -1,130 +1,170 @@
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103,0.19,2.4278932283999755e+21,0.31020188680520316,-0.12020188680520316
104,0.19,3.9284137646068717e+21,0.31020188680517974,-0.12020188680517974
105,0.18,6.356306993006848e+21,0.31020188680514177,-0.13020188680514178
106,0.18,1.028472075761372e+22,0.3102018868050804,-0.13020188680508038
107,0.18,1.6641027750620568e+22,0.310201886804981,-0.13020188680498102
108,0.17,2.6925748508234288e+22,0.31020188680482025,-0.14020188680482024
109,0.17,4.356677625885486e+22,0.3102018868045601,-0.1402018868045601
110,0.17,7.049252476708914e+22,0.31020188680413924,-0.14020188680413923
111,0.16,1.14059301025944e+23,0.3102018868034582,-0.15020188680345822
112,0.16,1.8455182579303315e+23,0.3102018868023564,-0.15020188680235638
113,0.16,2.9861112681897715e+23,0.3102018868005735,-0.15020188680057348
114,0.16,4.831629526120103e+23,0.31020188679768873,-0.15020188679768873
115,0.14,7.817740794309875e+23,0.3102018867930211,-0.17020188679302106
116,0.14,1.2649370320429978e+24,0.3102018867854686,-0.1702018867854686
117,0.13,2.0467111114739851e+24,0.31020188677324856,-0.18020188677324855
118,0.13,3.3116481435169827e+24,0.31020188675347604,-0.18020188675347604
119,0.12,5.358359254990968e+24,0.31020188672148347,-0.19020188672148347
120,0.1,8.670007398507951e+24,0.3102018866697184,-0.21020188666971837
121,0.1,1.402836665349892e+25,0.3102018865859607,-0.2102018865859607
122,0.09,2.269837405200687e+25,0.31020188645043795,-0.22020188645043795
123,0.09,3.6726740705505786e+25,0.3102018862311575,-0.22020188623115752
124,0.09,5.942511475751265e+25,0.3102018858763544,-0.2202018858763544
125,0.09,9.615185546301844e+25,0.3102018853022708,-0.22020188530227078
126,0.08,1.555769702205311e+26,0.31020188437338403,-0.230201884373384
127,0.08,2.5172882568354952e+26,0.31020188287041367,-0.23020188287041365
128,0.07,4.0730579590408064e+26,0.31020188043855657,-0.24020188043855656
129,0.06,6.590346215876301e+26,0.3102018765037291,-0.2502018765037291
130,0.05,1.0663404174917107e+27,0.31020187013704453,-0.26020187013704454
131,0.05,1.7253750390793408e+27,0.3102018598355325,-0.2602018598355325
132,0.05,2.791715456571052e+27,0.3102018431673359,-0.2602018431673359
133,0.05,4.5170904956503927e+27,0.3102018161976273,-0.26020181619762733
134,0.05,7.308805952221445e+27,0.3102017725597221,-0.2602017725597221
135,0.04,1.1825896447871837e+28,0.3102017019521083,-0.2702017019521083
136,0.03,1.9134702400093282e+28,0.31020158770658923,-0.2802015877065892
137,0.03,3.096059884796512e+28,0.3102014028534564,-0.2802014028534564
138,0.02,5.009530124805841e+28,0.31020110375480453,-0.2902011037548045
139,0.02,8.105590009602353e+28,0.3102006198030198,-0.29020061980301975
140,0.0,1.3115120134408193e+29,0.31019983675258317,-0.31019983675258317
141,-0.01,2.1220710144010545e+29,0.31019856975036175,-0.32019856975036176
142,-0.03,3.4335830278418734e+29,0.3101965196977038,-0.3401965196977038
143,-0.03,5.5556540422429276e+29,0.3101932026428244,-0.3401932026428244
144,-0.04,8.989237070084801e+29,0.31018783553528706,-0.35018783553528704
145,-0.04,1.454489111232773e+30,0.3101791513728704,-0.35017915137287037
146,-0.09,2.353412818241253e+30,0.3101651001029163,-0.4001651001029163
147,-0.12,3.807901929474026e+30,0.31014236467054557,-0.43014236467054556
148,-0.13,6.161314747715279e+30,0.31010557796822075,-0.44010557796822075
149,-0.15,9.969216677189305e+30,0.3100460558335252,-0.4600460558335252
150,-0.19,1.6130531424904583e+31,0.30994974699650485,-0.49994974699650485
151,-0.2,2.6099748102093888e+31,0.3097939160247889,-0.5097939160247889
152,-0.24,4.223027952699847e+31,0.3095417762160526,-0.5495417762160526
153,-0.24,6.8330027629092365e+31,0.3091338054356004,-0.5491338054356003
154,-0.26,1.1056030715609085e+32,0.30847369484641185,-0.5684736948464119
155,-0.26,1.788903347851832e+32,0.30740561347677114,-0.5674056134767711
156,-0.28,2.8945064194127406e+32,0.30567742151794186,-0.5856774215179419
157,-0.29,4.683409767264573e+32,0.3028811481894718,-0.5928811481894718
158,-0.3,7.577916186677313e+32,0.29835668290217254,-0.5983566829021725
159,-0.33,1.2261325953941887e+33,0.2910359442864032,-0.6210359442864033
160,-0.38,1.98392421406192e+33,0.2791907403833347,-0.6591907403833347
161,-0.4,3.2100568094561087e+33,0.2600247978644968,-0.6600247978644969
162,-0.41,5.193981023518028e+33,0.22901365144259034,-0.6390136514425904
163,-0.42,8.404037832974137e+33,0.178836562501846,-0.598836562501846
164,-0.46,1.3598018856492165e+34,0.09764832713919522,-0.5576483271391952
165,-0.51,2.20020566894663e+34,-0.0337169971641999,-0.4762830028358001
166,-0.59,3.5600075545958467e+34,-0.24627055683024585,-0.3437294431697541
167,-0.63,5.760213223542477e+34,-0.5901894407996868,-0.03981055920031318
168,-0.65,9.320220778138323e+34,-1.1466618844351737,0.4966618844351737

1 rank effect fib fit resid
2 0 1.34 1.0 0.2652215432329295 0.31020188680524113 1.0747784567670706 1.029798113194759
3 1 1.3 1.0 0.2652215432329295 0.31020188680524113 1.0347784567670706 0.9897981131947589
4 2 1.28 2.0 0.2652215432329295 0.31020188680524113 1.0147784567670706 0.9697981131947588
5 3 1.09 3.0 0.2652215432329295 0.31020188680524113 0.8247784567670706 0.7797981131947589
6 4 1.01 5.0 0.2652215432329295 0.31020188680524113 0.7447784567670706 0.6997981131947588
7 5 0.96 0.97 8.0 0.2652215432329295 0.31020188680524113 0.6947784567670705 0.6597981131947588
8 6 0.96 13.0 0.2652215432329295 0.31020188680524113 0.6947784567670705 0.6497981131947588
9 7 0.94 0.96 21.0 0.2652215432329295 0.31020188680524113 0.6747784567670705 0.6497981131947588
10 8 0.85 0.94 34.0 0.2652215432329295 0.31020188680524113 0.5847784567670704 0.6297981131947588
11 9 0.84 0.85 55.0 0.2652215432329295 0.31020188680524113 0.5747784567670704 0.5397981131947589
12 10 0.82 0.84 89.0 0.2652215432329295 0.31020188680524113 0.5547784567670704 0.5297981131947589
13 11 0.74 0.82 144.0 0.2652215432329295 0.31020188680524113 0.4747784567670705 0.5097981131947589
14 12 0.73 0.82 233.0 0.2652215432329295 0.31020188680524113 0.46477845676707047 0.5097981131947589
15 13 0.66 0.8 377.0 0.2652215432329295 0.31020188680524113 0.3947784567670705 0.4897981131947589
16 14 0.66 0.75 610.0 0.2652215432329295 0.31020188680524113 0.3947784567670705 0.43979811319475887
17 15 0.64 0.74 987.0 0.2652215432329295 0.31020188680524113 0.3747784567670705 0.42979811319475886
18 16 0.63 0.73 1597.0 0.2652215432329295 0.31020188680524113 0.3647784567670705 0.41979811319475885
19 17 0.62 0.67 2584.0 0.2652215432329295 0.31020188680524113 0.3547784567670705 0.3597981131947589
20 18 0.62 0.66 4181.0 0.2652215432329295 0.31020188680524113 0.3547784567670705 0.3497981131947589
21 19 0.61 0.66 6765.0 0.2652215432329295 0.31020188680524113 0.3447784567670705 0.3497981131947589
22 20 0.61 0.64 10946.0 0.2652215432329295 0.31020188680524113 0.3447784567670705 0.3297981131947589
23 21 0.56 0.63 17711.0 0.2652215432329295 0.31020188680524113 0.29477845676707054 0.31979811319475887
24 22 0.55 0.62 28657.0 0.2652215432329295 0.31020188680524113 0.28477845676707053 0.30979811319475886
25 23 0.54 0.62 46368.0 0.2652215432329295 0.31020188680524113 0.2747784567670705 0.30979811319475886
26 24 0.53 0.62 75025.0 0.2652215432329295 0.31020188680524113 0.2647784567670705 0.30979811319475886
27 25 0.52 0.61 121393.0 0.2652215432329295 0.31020188680524113 0.2547784567670705 0.29979811319475885
28 26 0.51 0.61 196418.0 0.2652215432329295 0.31020188680524113 0.2447784567670705 0.29979811319475885
29 27 0.5 0.57 317811.0 0.2652215432329295 0.31020188680524113 0.2347784567670705 0.2597981131947588
30 28 0.5 0.56 514229.0 0.2652215432329295 0.31020188680524113 0.2347784567670705 0.24979811319475892
31 29 0.49 0.55 832040.0 0.2652215432329295 0.31020188680524113 0.22477845676707048 0.2397981131947589
32 30 0.48 0.55 1346269.0 0.2652215432329295 0.31020188680524113 0.21477845676707047 0.2397981131947589
33 31 0.46 0.54 2178309.0 0.2652215432329295 0.31020188680524113 0.1947784567670705 0.2297981131947589
34 32 0.46 0.53 3524578.0 0.2652215432329295 0.31020188680524113 0.1947784567670705 0.2197981131947589
35 33 0.45 0.53 5702887.0 0.2652215432329295 0.31020188680524113 0.1847784567670705 0.2197981131947589
36 34 0.44 0.53 9227465.0 0.2652215432329295 0.31020188680524113 0.1747784567670705 0.2197981131947589
37 35 0.44 0.53 14930352.0 0.2652215432329295 0.31020188680524113 0.1747784567670705 0.2197981131947589
38 36 0.43 0.52 24157817.0 0.2652215432329295 0.31020188680524113 0.16477845676707048 0.20979811319475888
39 37 0.41 0.52 39088169.0 0.2652215432329295 0.31020188680524113 0.14477845676707046 0.20979811319475888
40 38 0.41 0.51 63245986.0 0.2652215432329295 0.31020188680524113 0.14477845676707046 0.19979811319475888
41 39 0.4 0.51 102334155.0 0.2652215432329295 0.31020188680524113 0.1347784567670705 0.19979811319475888
42 40 0.4 0.5 165580141.0 0.2652215432329295 0.31020188680524113 0.1347784567670705 0.18979811319475887
43 41 0.39 0.5 267914296.0 0.2652215432329295 0.31020188680524113 0.1247784567670705 0.18979811319475887
44 42 0.39 0.5 433494437.0 0.2652215432329295 0.31020188680524113 0.1247784567670705 0.18979811319475887
45 43 0.37 0.5 701408733.0 0.2652215432329295 0.31020188680524113 0.10477845676707048 0.18979811319475887
46 44 0.37 0.49 1134903170.0 0.2652215432329295 0.31020188680524113 0.10477845676707048 0.17979811319475886
47 45 0.36 0.49 1836311903.0 0.2652215432329295 0.31020188680524113 0.09477845676707047 0.17979811319475886
48 46 0.35 0.49 2971215073.0 0.2652215432329295 0.31020188680524113 0.08477845676707046 0.17979811319475886
49 47 0.35 0.48 4807526976.0 0.2652215432329295 0.31020188680524113 0.08477845676707046 0.16979811319475885
50 48 0.33 0.48 7778742049.0 0.2652215432329295 0.31020188680524113 0.0647784567670705 0.16979811319475885
51 49 0.33 0.47 12586269025.0 0.26522154323292946 0.31020188680524113 0.06477845676707056 0.15979811319475884
52 50 0.3 0.47 20365011074.0 0.26522154323292946 0.31020188680524113 0.03477845676707053 0.15979811319475884
53 51 0.29 0.46 32951280099.0 0.2652215432329294 0.31020188680524113 0.024778456767070578 0.1497981131947589
54 52 0.27 0.46 53316291173.0 0.26522154323292935 0.31020188680524113 0.004778456767070671 0.1497981131947589
55 53 0.27 0.46 86267571272.0 0.26522154323292924 0.31020188680524113 0.004778456767070782 0.1497981131947589
56 54 0.26 0.45 139583862445.0 0.265221543232929 0.31020188680524113 -0.005221543232929005 0.13979811319475888
57 55 0.26 0.45 225851433717.0 0.26522154323292874 0.31020188680524113 -0.005221543232928727 0.13979811319475888
58 56 0.25 0.44 365435296162.0 0.2652215432329283 0.31020188680524113 -0.015221543232928292 0.12979811319475887
59 57 0.24 0.44 591286729879.0 0.2652215432329275 0.31020188680524113 -0.025221543232927524 0.12979811319475887
60 58 0.24 0.43 956722026041.0 0.26522154323292624 0.31020188680524113 -0.025221543232926247 0.11979811319475886
61 59 0.23 0.43 1548008755920.0 0.26522154323292424 0.31020188680524113 -0.03522154323292423 0.11979811319475886
62 60 0.23 0.42 2504730781961.0 0.265221543232921 0.31020188680524113 -0.03522154323292101 0.10979811319475885
63 61 0.22 0.41 4052739537881.0 0.26522154323291575 0.31020188680524113 -0.045221543232915745 0.09979811319475884
64 62 0.22 0.41 6557470319842.0 0.26522154323290725 0.31020188680524113 -0.04522154323290725 0.09979811319475884
65 63 0.21 0.4 10610209857723.0 0.26522154323289343 0.31020188680524113 -0.05522154323289344 0.08979811319475889
66 64 0.21 0.4 17167680177565.0 0.26522154323287117 0.31020188680524113 -0.05522154323287118 0.08979811319475889
67 65 0.21 0.4 27777890035288.0 0.26522154323283514 0.31020188680524113 -0.05522154323283515 0.08979811319475889
68 66 0.2 0.4 44945570212853.0 0.2652215432327768 0.31020188680524113 -0.06522154323277679 0.08979811319475889
69 67 0.2 0.4 72723460248141.0 0.2652215432326824 0.31020188680524113 -0.06522154323268237 0.08979811319475889
70 68 0.19 0.39 117669030460994.0 0.26522154323252967 0.31020188680524113 -0.07522154323252966 0.07979811319475888
71 69 0.19 0.39 190392490709135.0 0.26522154323228253 0.31020188680524113 -0.07522154323228253 0.07979811319475888
72 70 0.18 0.39 308061521170129.0 0.2652215432318827 0.31020188680524113 -0.08522154323188269 0.07979811319475888
73 71 0.18 0.38 498454011879264.0 0.2652215432312357 0.31020188680524113 -0.08522154323123571 0.06979811319475887
74 72 0.18 0.38 806515533049393.0 0.26522154323018887 0.31020188680524113 -0.08522154323018888 0.06979811319475887
75 73 0.17 0.38 1304969544928657.0 0.26522154322849506 0.31020188680524113 -0.09522154322849505 0.06979811319475887
76 74 0.17 0.37 2111485077978050.0 0.26522154322575436 0.31020188680524113 -0.09522154322575435 0.05979811319475886
77 75 0.17 0.37 3416454622906707.0 0.2652215432213199 0.31020188680524113 -0.0952215432213199 0.05979811319475886
78 76 0.16 0.36 5527939700884757.0 0.26522154321414476 0.31020188680524113 -0.10522154321414476 0.04979811319475885
79 77 0.16 0.35 8944394323791464.0 0.26522154320253516 0.31020188680524113 -0.10522154320253516 0.039798113194758844
80 78 0.16 0.35 1.447233402467622e+16 0.2652215431837504 0.31020188680524113 -0.1052215431837504 0.039798113194758844
81 79 0.14 0.34 2.3416728348467684e+16 0.26522154315335605 0.31020188680524113 -0.12522154315335604 0.02979811319475889
82 80 0.13 0.33 3.78890623731439e+16 0.265221543104177 0.31020188680524113 -0.135221543104177 0.019798113194758882
83 81 0.1 0.33 6.130579072161158e+16 0.26522154302460355 0.31020188680524113 -0.16522154302460354 0.019798113194758882
84 82 0.1 0.33 9.919485309475549e+16 0.26522154289585104 0.31020188680524113 -0.16522154289585103 0.019798113194758882
85 83 0.09 0.3 1.6050064381636707e+17 0.26522154268752507 0.31020188680524113 -0.17522154268752507 -0.010201886805241145
86 84 0.09 0.29 2.5969549691112256e+17 0.26522154235044665 0.31020188680524113 -0.17522154235044665 -0.020201886805241154
87 85 0.09 0.27 4.2019614072748966e+17 0.2652215418050422 0.31020188680524113 -0.1752215418050422 -0.040201886805241116
88 86 0.08 0.27 6.798916376386122e+17 0.26522154092255934 0.31020188680524113 -0.18522154092255932 -0.040201886805241116
89 87 0.08 0.26 1.1000877783661019e+18 0.26522153949467203 0.31020188680524113 -0.18522153949467202 -0.050201886805241125
90 88 0.07 0.26 1.779979416004714e+18 0.2652215371843018 0.3102018868052411 -0.1952215371843018 -0.05020188680524107
91 89 0.06 0.25 2.880067194370816e+18 0.2652215334460443 0.3102018868052411 -0.20522153344604432 -0.06020188680524108
92 90 0.05 0.25 4.66004661037553e+18 0.26522152739741667 0.3102018868052411 -0.21522152739741668 -0.06020188680524108
93 91 0.05 0.24 7.540113804746346e+18 0.2652215176105315 0.310201886805241 -0.2152215176105315 -0.07020188680524103
94 92 0.05 0.24 1.2200160415121877e+19 0.26522150177501863 0.31020188680524097 -0.21522150177501864 -0.07020188680524098
95 93 0.05 0.23 1.9740274219868226e+19 0.2652214761526206 0.3102018868052408 -0.2152214761526206 -0.08020188680524079
96 94 0.05 0.23 3.19404346349901e+19 0.26522143469470966 0.31020188680524063 -0.21522143469470967 -0.08020188680524062
97 95 0.04 0.22 5.168070885485833e+19 0.26522136761440074 0.3102018868052403 -0.22522136761440073 -0.0902018868052403
98 96 0.03 0.22 8.362114348984843e+19 0.2652212590761809 0.3102018868052398 -0.23522125907618088 -0.0902018868052398
99 97 0.03 0.21 1.3530185234470676e+20 0.2652210834576521 0.310201886805239 -0.2352210834576521 -0.10020188680523903
100 98 0.02 0.21 2.189229958345552e+20 0.26522079930090353 0.3102018868052377 -0.24522079930090354 -0.1002018868052377
101 99 0.02 0.21 3.54224848179262e+20 0.2652203395256261 0.3102018868052356 -0.24522033952562614 -0.10020188680523559
102 100 0.0 0.2 5.731478440138172e+20 0.26521959559360014 0.3102018868052322 -0.26521959559360014 -0.11020188680523219
103 101 -0.01 0.2 9.273726921930792e+20 0.26521839188629676 0.31020188680522665 -0.27521839188629676 -0.11020188680522663
104 102 -0.03 0.2 1.5005205362068963e+21 0.26521644424696733 0.31020188680521765 -0.29521644424696736 -0.11020188680521764
105 103 -0.03 0.19 2.4278932283999755e+21 0.2652132929003346 0.31020188680520316 -0.2952132929003346 -0.12020188680520316
106 104 -0.04 0.19 3.9284137646068717e+21 0.2652081939143724 0.31020188680517974 -0.30520819391437237 -0.12020188680517974
107 105 -0.04 0.18 6.356306993006848e+21 0.26519994358177745 0.31020188680514177 -0.30519994358177743 -0.13020188680514178
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